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affect the timing of run-off with earlier peak flow in the spring. Although additional river-flow can be considered beneficial to agriculture this is only true if there is an ability to store run-off during times of excess to use later in the growing season. Globally, only a few rivers currently have adequate storage to cope with large shifts in seasonality of run-off (Barnett et al. 2005). Where storage capacities are not sufficient, much of the winter run-off will immediately be lost to the oceans. Figure 7c shows the monthly river-flow from the Volga catchment in Russia. It shows an earlier and increased peak flow Popular weed leaf mandala full printing low top shoesaround snow melt with subsequently lower flow later in the year. Meteorological records suggest that heatwaves became more frequent over the twentieth century, and while individual events cannot be attributed to climate change, the change in probability of a heatwave can be attributed. Europe experienced a particularly extreme climate event during the summer of 2003, with average temperatures 6°C above normal and precipitation deficits of up to 300 mm. A record crop yield loss of 36 per cent occurred in Italy for corn grown in the Po valley where extremely high temperatures prevailed (Ciais et al. 2005). It is estimated that such summer

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